World on Track for Catastrophic 2.6°C Warming as Emissions Reach Record High

  • 13/11/2025

The world continues heading toward a catastrophic temperature increase of 2.6°C above pre-industrial levels, according to recent climate assessments. Despite global climate commitments, countries have failed to strengthen their emission reduction plans, leaving the planet on a dangerous warming trajectory that would breach Paris Agreement limits.

Current projections match last year's forecast, indicating insufficient progress in climate action. Fossil fuel emissions have reached record levels, expected to grow by approximately 1% in 2025, though renewable energy expansion has begun slowing the rate of increase. Meanwhile, crucial natural carbon sinks like tropical forests in Asia and South America are now releasing carbon instead of absorbing it, further exacerbating the climate crisis.

Climate scientists warn that 2.6°C warming would trigger irreversible tipping points including coral reef collapse, large-scale ice sheet deterioration, and severe disruptions to agriculture through droughts and floods. With only about 100 countries submitting updated climate plans and atmospheric CO₂ levels projected to reach 425 ppm in 2025, experts urge stronger global cooperation and faster transition from fossil fuels to prevent the most devastating impacts.

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